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Sunday 27 November 2016, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–2
HT 2–0
78% 15% 7%
Home win
78.5%
Draw
14.8%
Away win
6.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 78.5% 1.27
Draw 14.8% 6.76
Pescara 6.7% 14.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.73
Over 1.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.5% 6.07
Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 3.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 3.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 4.5 22.3% 4.49
Under 4.5 77.7% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 93.3% 1.07
AS Roma / Pescara 85.2% 1.17
Draw / Pescara 21.5% 4.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
9.9
7.1
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
13.2
8.6
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.3
7.3
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
7.3
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
3.8
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.