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Sunday 30 October 2016, 16:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
62% 23% 15%
Home win
61.7%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
15.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AC Milan 61.7% 1.62
Draw 23.0% 4.34
Pescara 15.3% 6.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.81
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.18
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.4% 2.07
No 51.6% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AC Milan / Draw 84.7% 1.18
AC Milan / Pescara 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Pescara 38.3% 2.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
4.9
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
11.9
11.0
4.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.8
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
7.4
6.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
3.5
2.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AC Milan goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.