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Saturday 22 October 2016, 21:45 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
33% 26% 41%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
40.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AC Milan 33.3% 3.00
Draw 25.9% 3.86
Juventus 40.7% 2.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.52
Over 1.5 79.6% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.4% 4.91
Over 2.5 56.0% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.0% 2.27
Over 3.5 33.6% 2.98
Under 3.5 66.4% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.2% 5.80
Under 4.5 82.8% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.6% 1.68
No 40.4% 2.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AC Milan / Draw 59.3% 1.69
AC Milan / Juventus 74.1% 1.35
Draw / Juventus 66.7% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
7.6
6.4
3.3
1.3
0.4
1
6.7
12.1
8.8
4.6
1.8
0.5
2
5.1
7.9
6.1
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.3
3.6
2.8
1.4
0.6
0.2
4
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: AC Milan goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.