Sunday 2 October 2016, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
56%
26%
18%
Home win
55.8%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
18.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.1% | 9.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Sassuolo | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
12.2
|
4.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.5
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sassuolo
2-0
AC Milan
Dec 2025
AC Milan
2-2
Sassuolo
Apr 2024
Sassuolo
3-3
AC Milan
Dec 2023
AC Milan
1-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Aug 2022
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.