Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:45
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
68%
20%
11%
Home win
68.3%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
11.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 11.3% | 8.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Chievo / Sassuolo | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
9.7
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
9.5
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Sassuolo
4-0
Chievo
Nov 2018
Chievo
0-2
Sassuolo
Apr 2018
Chievo
1-1
Sassuolo
Oct 2017
Sassuolo
0-0
Chievo
Feb 2017
Sassuolo
1-3
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.