Sunday 18 September 2016, 16:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
54%
37%
9%
Home win
54.1%
Draw
37.0%
Away win
8.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Genoa | 8.8% | 11.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 28.9% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 13.3% | 7.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.9% | 25.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.9% | 106.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 99.1% | 1.01 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14.7% | 6.82 | — | — |
| No | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Genoa | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
28.9
|
6.8
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
28.1
|
7.7
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.3
|
3.6
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Nov 2025
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
May 2024
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Dec 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
Jan 2022
Sassuolo
1-1
Genoa
Oct 2021
Genoa
2-2
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.