Sunday 28 August 2016, 21:45
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
30%
62%
9%
Home win
29.6%
Draw
61.8%
Away win
8.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 29.6% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Chievo | 8.6% | 11.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 10.5% | 9.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.8% | 56.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.2% | 425.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 4,000.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.5% | 22.40 | — | — |
| No | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Chievo | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
58.3
|
7.8
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
23.4
|
3.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
0.7
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Chievo
3-4
Fiorentina
Aug 2018
Fiorentina
6-1
Chievo
Feb 2018
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
2-1
Fiorentina
Jan 2017
Chievo
0-3
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.