Saturday 21 January 2017, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
34%
28%
37%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
37.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Chievo / Fiorentina | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
9.4
|
6.7
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
13.4
|
8.3
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
7.9
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
3.3
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Chievo
3-4
Fiorentina
Aug 2018
Fiorentina
6-1
Chievo
Feb 2018
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
2-1
Fiorentina
Aug 2016
Fiorentina
1-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.