Skip to content
Sunday 15 January 2017, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
26% 26% 48%
Home win
26.4%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
47.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 26.4% 3.79
Draw 25.7% 3.89
Juventus 47.9% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.10
Over 1.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.0% 4.54
Over 2.5 53.6% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.4% 2.16
Over 3.5 31.4% 3.19
Under 3.5 68.6% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.6% 6.40
Under 4.5 84.4% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.5% 1.77
No 43.5% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 52.1% 1.92
Fiorentina / Juventus 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Juventus 73.6% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
9.1
8.1
4.5
1.8
0.6
1
6.3
12.2
9.5
5.2
2.2
0.7
2
4.1
6.7
5.6
3.1
1.3
0.4
3
1.6
2.6
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.