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Saturday 17 December 2016, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
49% 25% 26%
Home win
49.3%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 49.3% 2.03
Draw 24.6% 4.06
AS Roma 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.92
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.23
Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.1% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.5% 2.82
Under 3.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.6% 5.37
Under 4.5 81.4% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.6% 1.68
No 40.4% 2.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 73.9% 1.35
Juventus / AS Roma 75.4% 1.33
Draw / AS Roma 50.7% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
5.5
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
8.1
11.5
6.7
2.8
0.9
0.2
2
7.7
9.6
5.9
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
4.6
5.7
3.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.0
2.5
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.