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Saturday 3 December 2016, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
51% 26% 23%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 51.3% 1.95
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Atalanta 22.6% 4.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.59
Over 1.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.5% 3.92
Over 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Over 3.5 27.0% 3.71
Under 3.5 73.0% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.92
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.5% 1.94
No 48.5% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 77.4% 1.29
Juventus / Atalanta 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Atalanta 48.7% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
6.5
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
11.1
12.5
5.9
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.6
9.6
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
5.2
5.2
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.1
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Atalanta goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.