Sunday 30 October 2016, 13:30
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
36%
32%
32%
Home win
35.9%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
32.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Genoa | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.5% | 7.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 17.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Genoa | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.5
|
11.8
|
6.3
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
14.3
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
7.2
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atalanta
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2025
Genoa
0-1
Atalanta
May 2025
Genoa
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2024
Atalanta
5-1
Genoa
Feb 2024
Genoa
1-4
Atalanta
Oct 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.