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Sunday 23 October 2016, 16:00 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
39% 28% 34%
Home win
38.8%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
33.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 38.8% 2.58
Draw 27.6% 3.62
Inter 33.6% 2.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.65
Over 1.5 74.7% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.3% 3.95
Over 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Under 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Over 3.5 27.2% 3.68
Under 3.5 72.8% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.82
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.3% 1.84
No 45.7% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 66.4% 1.51
Atalanta / Inter 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Inter 61.2% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
8.3
5.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
9.1
13.2
7.8
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
6.8
8.5
5.4
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.1
3.9
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.1
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.