Sunday 16 October 2016, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
62%
20%
17%
Home win
62.4%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
17.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 17.2% | 5.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.9% | 6.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Inter / Cagliari | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
3.4
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.8
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
7.3
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Inter
3-0
Cagliari
Sep 2025
Cagliari
0-2
Inter
Apr 2025
Inter
3-1
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-3
Inter
Apr 2024
Inter
2-2
Cagliari
Aug 2023
Cagliari
0-2
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.