Monday 26 September 2016, 22:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
63%
17%
19%
Home win
63.5%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
19.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.4% | 71.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.7% | 17.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 17.2% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| No | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Sampdoria | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.4
|
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
5.4
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
7.4
|
6.0
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
7.2
|
5.8
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
5.2
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
3.0
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
Cagliari
Oct 2021
Cagliari
3-1
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Cagliari
Nov 2020
Cagliari
2-0
Sampdoria
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Cagliari
Dec 2019
Cagliari
4-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.