Sunday 11 September 2016, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
47%
22%
31%
Home win
46.8%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
31.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 46.8% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.7% | 37.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.2% | 9.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| No | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Sampdoria | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.7
|
3.3
|
3.2
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
8.4
|
6.8
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
8.4
|
7.1
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
5.9
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
3.1
|
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
AS Roma
3-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Dec 2021
AS Roma
1-1
Sampdoria
May 2021
Sampdoria
2-0
AS Roma
Jan 2021
AS Roma
1-0
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.