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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 19:30 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
39% 29% 31%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
31.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 39.3% 2.54
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Sampdoria 31.4% 3.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.86
Over 1.5 69.3% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.7% 3.25
Over 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 3.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.86
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.8% 2.05
No 51.2% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 68.6% 1.46
Bologna / Sampdoria 70.7% 1.41
Draw / Sampdoria 60.7% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
9.5
5.7
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
11.1
13.9
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
7.5
8.3
4.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.2
3.5
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.