Saturday 17 September 2016, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
76%
20%
4%
Home win
76.1%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
3.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Bologna | 3.7% | 27.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.8% | 7.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.0% | 19.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16.3% | 6.12 | — | — |
| No | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Napoli / Bologna | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
2.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
24.1
|
5.6
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
21.5
|
4.6
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.6
|
2.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
1.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Napoli
2-3
Bologna
Nov 2025
Bologna
2-0
Napoli
Apr 2025
Bologna
1-1
Napoli
Aug 2024
Napoli
3-0
Bologna
May 2024
Napoli
0-2
Bologna
Sep 2023
Bologna
0-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.