Sunday 2 October 2016, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
45%
25%
30%
Home win
45.0%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
30.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Inter | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Inter | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
5.4
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
11.2
|
7.4
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
9.2
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
5.3
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Inter
5-2
AS Roma
Oct 2025
AS Roma
0-1
Inter
Apr 2025
Inter
0-1
AS Roma
Oct 2024
AS Roma
0-1
Inter
Feb 2024
AS Roma
2-4
Inter
Oct 2023
Inter
1-0
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.