Sunday 18 September 2016, 21:45
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
66%
25%
9%
Home win
66.5%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
8.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 8.5% | 11.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.0% | 7.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| No | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / AS Roma | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
5.0
|
1.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
21.2
|
9.3
|
1.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.2
|
6.9
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
3.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
4-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
1-2
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2024
Fiorentina
5-1
AS Roma
Mar 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.