Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
80%
12%
8%
Home win
80.4%
Draw
12.1%
Away win
7.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.1% | 8.26 | — | — |
| Crotone | 7.5% | 13.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 55.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.5% | 13.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Crotone | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
5.0
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
7.6
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
8.2
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.7
|
6.6
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
4.3
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Crotone
0-2
Cagliari
Oct 2020
Cagliari
4-2
Crotone
Jan 2018
Crotone
1-1
Cagliari
Sep 2017
Cagliari
1-0
Crotone
Feb 2017
Crotone
1-2
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.