Sunday 28 January 2018, 16:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
35%
29%
36%
Home win
34.7%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
36.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Crotone / Cagliari | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
10.1
|
6.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
13.8
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
7.8
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
3.1
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Crotone
0-2
Cagliari
Oct 2020
Cagliari
4-2
Crotone
Sep 2017
Cagliari
1-0
Crotone
Feb 2017
Crotone
1-2
Cagliari
Oct 2016
Cagliari
2-1
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.