Sunday 21 January 2018, 19:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
31%
27%
42%
Home win
31.1%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
41.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.70 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Cagliari / AC Milan | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
9.1
|
7.2
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
12.9
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
7.5
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.1
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
1-2
Cagliari
Jan 2026
Cagliari
0-1
AC Milan
Jan 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Nov 2024
Cagliari
3-3
AC Milan
May 2024
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Sep 2023
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.