Friday 22 December 2017, 21:45
Sardegna Arena
Full time
28%
24%
48%
Home win
27.9%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
48.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.0% | 5.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.2% | 4.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Fiorentina | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
7.1
|
7.0
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.0
|
9.4
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
7.0
|
6.3
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
3.1
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Fiorentina
1-2
Cagliari
Aug 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Fiorentina
Dec 2024
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
May 2024
Cagliari
2-3
Fiorentina
Oct 2023
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.