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Sunday 3 December 2017, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
48% 26% 26%
Home win
48.2%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
25.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 48.2% 2.08
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Cagliari 25.7% 3.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.87
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.6% 1.83
No 45.4% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 74.3% 1.35
Bologna / Cagliari 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Cagliari 51.8% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
6.6
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
9.8
12.5
6.6
2.4
0.7
0.2
2
8.5
9.5
5.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
4.6
5.1
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.8
2.1
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.