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Monday 20 November 2017, 21:45 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
27% 31% 42%
Home win
27.1%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
42.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 27.1% 3.69
Draw 30.7% 3.26
Bologna 42.2% 2.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 8.02
Over 1.5 64.0% 1.56
Under 1.5 36.0% 2.78
Over 2.5 36.3% 2.75
Under 2.5 63.7% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.0% 5.87
Under 3.5 83.0% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.7% 14.94
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.31
No 56.6% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 57.8% 1.73
Hellas Verona / Bologna 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Bologna 72.9% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
13.5
8.7
3.6
1.1
0.3
1
10.0
14.0
8.1
3.3
1.0
0.2
2
5.0
6.1
3.7
1.5
0.5
0.1
3
1.5
1.9
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.