Sunday 15 October 2017, 16:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
43%
31%
26%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
26.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Spal | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.7% | 7.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.5% | 15.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Bologna / Spal | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.7
|
9.9
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
14.0
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
8.1
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Spal
1-3
Bologna
Aug 2019
Bologna
1-0
Spal
Jan 2019
Spal
1-1
Bologna
Aug 2018
Bologna
0-1
Spal
Mar 2018
Spal
1-0
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.