Saturday 3 March 2018, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
35%
28%
38%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
37.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Bologna | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Spal / Bologna | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
9.1
|
6.6
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.3
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
8.0
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
3.4
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Spal
1-3
Bologna
Aug 2019
Bologna
1-0
Spal
Jan 2019
Spal
1-1
Bologna
Aug 2018
Bologna
0-1
Spal
Oct 2017
Bologna
2-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.