Sunday 19 August 2018, 21:30
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
42%
30%
28%
Home win
42.3%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
28.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Spal | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 8.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Bologna / Spal | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
13.9
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
8.4
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Spal
1-3
Bologna
Aug 2019
Bologna
1-0
Spal
Jan 2019
Spal
1-1
Bologna
Mar 2018
Spal
1-0
Bologna
Oct 2017
Bologna
2-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.