Saturday 21 April 2018, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
15%
24%
61%
Home win
14.6%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
61.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.2% | 8.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Spal / AS Roma | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
13.6
|
12.6
|
7.5
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
11.3
|
9.5
|
5.6
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.0
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
1-6
AS Roma
Dec 2019
AS Roma
3-1
Spal
Mar 2019
Spal
2-1
AS Roma
Oct 2018
AS Roma
0-2
Spal
Dec 2017
AS Roma
3-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.