Wednesday 18 April 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
67%
23%
10%
Home win
67.4%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
10.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Genoa | 10.1% | 9.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| No | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Genoa | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
10.0
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.4
|
8.6
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.3
|
5.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Genoa
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Jan 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Sep 2024
Genoa
1-1
AS Roma
May 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Genoa
Sep 2023
Genoa
4-1
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.