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Saturday 31 March 2018, 13:30 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
17% 24% 59%
Home win
16.9%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
59.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 16.9% 5.92
Draw 23.7% 4.21
AS Roma 59.4% 1.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.73
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.47
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.20
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 40.6% 2.46
Bologna / AS Roma 76.3% 1.31
Draw / AS Roma 83.1% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
11.5
11.2
6.8
3.1
1.2
1
5.2
11.3
9.8
6.0
2.8
1.0
2
2.5
4.7
4.3
2.6
1.2
0.4
3
0.7
1.4
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.