Sunday 11 March 2018, 16:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
26%
28%
46%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
46.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.9% | 11.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Bologna / Atalanta | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.9
|
11.2
|
8.8
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
13.2
|
9.1
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
6.5
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atalanta
0-1
Bologna
Jan 2026
Bologna
0-2
Atalanta
Apr 2025
Atalanta
2-0
Bologna
Sep 2024
Bologna
1-1
Atalanta
Mar 2024
Atalanta
1-2
Bologna
Dec 2023
Bologna
1-0
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.