Sunday 4 February 2018, 16:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
33%
27%
40%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
40.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Bologna / Fiorentina | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
8.6
|
6.8
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
12.8
|
8.8
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
7.8
|
5.7
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bologna
1-2
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
2-2
Bologna
May 2025
Fiorentina
3-2
Bologna
Dec 2024
Bologna
1-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2024
Bologna
2-0
Fiorentina
Nov 2023
Fiorentina
2-1
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.