Sunday 28 January 2018, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
78%
15%
7%
Home win
77.9%
Draw
15.0%
Away win
7.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.0% | 6.65 | — | — |
| Bologna | 7.0% | 14.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.3% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Napoli / Bologna | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
7.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
8.7
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.1
|
7.4
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Napoli
2-3
Bologna
Nov 2025
Bologna
2-0
Napoli
Apr 2025
Bologna
1-1
Napoli
Aug 2024
Napoli
3-0
Bologna
May 2024
Napoli
0-2
Bologna
Sep 2023
Bologna
0-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.