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Saturday 16 December 2017, 19:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–3
HT 0–3
18% 20% 62%
Home win
17.7%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
62.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 17.7% 5.64
Draw 20.3% 4.93
Napoli 62.0% 1.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 26.76
Over 1.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.8% 7.25
Over 2.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 2.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 3.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 3.5 55.1% 1.81
Over 4.5 26.2% 3.82
Under 4.5 73.8% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.1% 1.61
No 37.9% 2.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 38.0% 2.63
Torino / Napoli 79.7% 1.25
Draw / Napoli 82.3% 1.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
6.8
8.4
6.3
3.6
1.6
1
3.2
9.0
9.7
7.3
4.2
1.9
2
2.2
4.9
5.6
4.3
2.4
1.1
3
0.8
1.9
2.2
1.6
0.9
0.4
4
0.2
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Napoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.