Saturday 18 November 2017, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
69%
19%
12%
Home win
69.1%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
12.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 12.4% | 8.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Napoli / AC Milan | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
8.6
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.6
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.3
|
7.6
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
1-0
AC Milan
Sep 2025
AC Milan
2-1
Napoli
Mar 2025
Napoli
2-1
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Oct 2023
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.