Skip to content
Saturday 28 October 2017, 19:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
21% 26% 52%
Home win
21.4%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
52.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AC Milan 21.4% 4.67
Draw 26.2% 3.81
Juventus 52.4% 1.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 11.98
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.76
Over 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.8% 3.88
Under 3.5 74.2% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.43
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.9% 2.00
No 50.1% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AC Milan / Draw 47.6% 2.10
AC Milan / Juventus 73.8% 1.36
Draw / Juventus 78.6% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
11.7
10.0
5.4
2.2
0.7
1
6.6
12.5
9.5
5.2
2.1
0.7
2
3.5
5.6
4.5
2.5
1.0
0.3
3
1.1
1.8
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AC Milan goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.