Saturday 14 October 2017, 19:00
Allianz Stadium
Full time
66%
20%
14%
Home win
66.4%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
13.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Lazio | 13.7% | 7.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Juventus / Lazio | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
3.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
9.4
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.8
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
7.3
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Juventus
2-2
Lazio
Oct 2025
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
May 2025
Lazio
1-1
Juventus
Oct 2024
Juventus
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2024
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
Sep 2023
Juventus
3-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.