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Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
71% 18% 11%
Home win
71.4%
Draw
17.9%
Away win
10.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 71.4% 1.40
Draw 17.9% 5.60
Fiorentina 10.8% 9.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.24
Over 1.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.5% 6.08
Over 2.5 62.3% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.7% 2.65
Over 3.5 40.1% 2.50
Under 3.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 4.5 22.2% 4.51
Under 4.5 77.8% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 89.2% 1.12
Juventus / Fiorentina 82.1% 1.22
Draw / Fiorentina 28.6% 3.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
2.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
9.1
8.4
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
11.4
9.5
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.1
7.5
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
5.4
4.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.6
2.1
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.