Sunday 27 August 2017, 21:45
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
50%
25%
26%
Home win
49.7%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
25.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Sampdoria | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
5.4
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
11.5
|
6.6
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.6
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
5.7
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.5
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Fiorentina
5-0
Sampdoria
Nov 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Fiorentina
May 2022
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Nov 2021
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2020
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.