Saturday 13 May 2017, 19:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
35%
24%
41%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
41.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Lazio | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Lazio | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
5.6
|
5.4
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
10.4
|
8.6
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
7.8
|
6.9
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
4.2
|
3.6
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Fiorentina
1-0
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
2-2
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Lazio
1-2
Fiorentina
Sep 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Feb 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.