Sunday 9 April 2017, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
39%
25%
36%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
35.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Napoli | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.7% | 5.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Lazio / Napoli | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
6.1
|
5.1
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
11.4
|
8.1
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
8.6
|
6.5
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.6
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.8
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2025
Lazio
2-2
Napoli
Dec 2024
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Jan 2024
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Sep 2023
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.