Sunday 12 March 2017, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
82%
13%
6%
Home win
81.6%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
5.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.7% | 7.86 | — | — |
| Crotone | 5.7% | 17.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.4% | 7.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Napoli / Crotone | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
8.1
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.6
|
7.6
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.2
|
5.4
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Napoli
4-3
Crotone
Dec 2020
Crotone
0-4
Napoli
May 2018
Napoli
2-1
Crotone
Dec 2017
Crotone
0-1
Napoli
Oct 2016
Crotone
1-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.