Sunday 20 May 2018, 19:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
80%
14%
6%
Home win
79.9%
Draw
14.0%
Away win
6.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
| Crotone | 6.2% | 16.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Napoli / Crotone | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
6.7
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
8.3
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.6
|
7.4
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.7
|
4.9
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Napoli
4-3
Crotone
Dec 2020
Crotone
0-4
Napoli
Dec 2017
Crotone
0-1
Napoli
Mar 2017
Napoli
3-0
Crotone
Oct 2016
Crotone
1-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.