Sunday 13 May 2018, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
18%
22%
60%
Home win
18.2%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
59.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Napoli | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Napoli | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
8.6
|
9.4
|
6.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.3
|
9.9
|
6.8
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
5.1
|
5.2
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.8
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2023
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Jan 2022
Napoli
1-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
0-4
Napoli
Apr 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Dec 2020
Napoli
2-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.