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Sunday 6 May 2018, 19:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
33% 26% 41%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
40.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 32.8% 3.05
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Sampdoria 40.7% 2.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.09
Over 1.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.0% 4.56
Over 2.5 53.7% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.3% 2.16
Over 3.5 31.4% 3.19
Under 3.5 68.6% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.6% 6.39
Under 4.5 84.4% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.8% 1.73
No 42.2% 2.37

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 59.3% 1.69
Sassuolo / Sampdoria 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Sampdoria 67.2% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
8.2
6.7
3.3
1.3
0.4
1
7.1
12.5
8.8
4.4
1.7
0.5
2
5.2
7.8
5.9
2.9
1.1
0.3
3
2.3
3.5
2.6
1.3
0.5
0.1
4
0.8
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.