Saturday 21 April 2018, 19:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
27%
27%
46%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
45.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 27.4% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Fiorentina | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
9.8
|
8.1
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.7
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
6.9
|
5.3
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.6
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Fiorentina
0-0
Sassuolo
Dec 2025
Sassuolo
3-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2024
Fiorentina
5-1
Sassuolo
Jan 2024
Sassuolo
1-0
Fiorentina
Jun 2023
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Jan 2023
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.