Tuesday 3 April 2018, 19:30
Dacia Arena
Full time
35%
27%
38%
Home win
35.1%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
37.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Udinese / Fiorentina | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
8.3
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
12.8
|
8.5
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.1
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.6
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Udinese
3-0
Fiorentina
Dec 2025
Fiorentina
5-1
Udinese
May 2025
Udinese
2-3
Fiorentina
Dec 2024
Fiorentina
1-2
Udinese
Jan 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
Udinese
Sep 2023
Udinese
0-2
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.