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Saturday 31 March 2018, 16:00 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
57% 24% 19%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
18.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 57.2% 1.75
Draw 24.2% 4.13
Udinese 18.5% 5.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.04
Over 1.5 76.5% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.5% 4.25
Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.4% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.4% 3.40
Under 3.5 70.6% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.3% 7.00
Under 4.5 85.7% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 81.5% 1.23
Atalanta / Udinese 75.8% 1.32
Draw / Udinese 42.8% 2.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
5.4
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
11.0
11.5
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.5
9.8
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.3
5.9
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.9
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.